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CABE chair backs four runways at Stansted airport

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5523656484_a1f6e35e5c.jpgWhile we were at the NLA exhibition the other day we managed to grab a few minutes with Paul Finch chair of design council CABE. Paul had some pretty controversial views on how the City should look during the breakfast debate.

For starters he believes that Stansted airport will eventually end up with four runways, "much smarter place than going out to Shenfield" and that a Crossrail extension would really make this work. We're talking 2050 here but in the near term a second runway is a very real possibility says Paul. The added bonus of this is that it would circumvent a huge headache at Boris's (Bird) Island and Finch says that Boris has already given some encouraging noises to expansion at Stansted.

Long term the City will get a bit taller, he says but in the medium term there will be more retrofitting of buildings and probably a bit less knocking down and starting again. The biggest threat to the City, he says is mental laziness and big ideas don't have to mean 

Click below to hear Paul explain why. By clicking on the tiny pictures of me in sound wave below you can dip in and out at key points, just look at the text underneath the sound wave to see what's being discussed. 



Picture by Ozan Huseyin on Flickr 
We're unlikely to see many more towers in The City. This coming from the man who put most of the towers on the City of London's skyline and who claims to have squeezed the Gherkin (£). Peter Rees, chief planner at the City of London says that there are more sq ft of offices in the world than will be needed for at least the next two generations or so.

He says that the world economy is broken but that London is the least worst place to invest. "It's interesting to see what will emerge in its place but it is certainly not what we've known for the last couple of generations," he says. Rees remains positive about London but is less certain about the rest of the planet.

You can listen to Peter Rees' interview in full below or run your cursor along the timeline and by clicking on my photos in the podcast below you can see when key topics are discussed. A full list is below. 

*London is the least worst place to invest in the world. Rees gives his view on who's investing and what it might all mean
*Last of the London towers: Rees says we are unlikely to have many more towers on the skyline as there is enough sq ft of offices in the world to keep us going for the next two generations
*Watch this space in the next few weeks there may be movement on London's imminent towers
*Broadgate: With four new architects looking at plans, hear what Rees thinks should go on the site
* Planning at Barts Square next to St Bart's Hopsital should be discussed this autumn, but it's complicated.

Peter Rees was at the opening of NLA's The Developing City exhibition which looks at the how the city history and how it might transform in the next 40years. The exhibition is on at the Walbrook building until the 9th September and is well worth a visit.

The Pinnacle, view for sale but not for the faint-hearted

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lego balcony.jpgWould you pay some of today's highest rents in the City of London, for a balcony you could use less than one-sixth of the year?

The backers of The Pinnacle said at a private viewing last week that floor 52 - its "penthouse" offices - will come with a private viewing terrace some 900 feet above the ground. Yikes.

Agents on the snake skin clad tower Savills, say rents will be similar, but discounted, to the high end suites in the West End. Think St James and Mayfair but below the three figures. 

For that you'll get a birds eye view of the city, head and shoulders above Tower 42 and The Gherkin. However, Arab Investments and its agents Savills let slip that at those heights their studies show you'll be able to use the sky terrace maybe 60-70 days a year. Rain and, more importantly, wind will stop all but the hardiest heading out for most of the year.

But, they say, that's not the point. It's going to be a very special space. Imagine sipping a G&T on a summer's evening or puffing on a cigar? Trees and garden furniture will be allowed but only if it's very securely chained down. If they're looking for boutique financial-type occupiers, given the current state of the markets, they might want to consider chaining down any tenants on the balcony too. 

The good news for anyone with wads of cash to spend is that Savills and Arab Investments say that the delays are over and the development is once more going ahead. We'll start seeing the core coming back out of the ground again as early as next week say Savills.    

Picture by pasukaru76 on Flickr
**Live blogging from the NLA City of London conference. Expect typos and grammatical errors.**
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This is it. The last speaker

James Roberts, head of commercial research, Knight Frank

The banks - FBS London is still very exposed to FBS (financial and banking sector)  7m sq ft in the whole of London, FDS and TMT are major occupiers and other occupiers make up just 2m sq ft. Despite the financial crisis and Lehman Brothers collapse it is still very dependent on financial sectors.

FBS sector will drive the economy. Nevertheless it will change. Canary Wharf's large towers were built to effectively bring together all the departments in the banking sector and hold together these mega banks.

New regs are effectively making the mega bank business model untenable. Banks will start thinking that holding these asset management businesses is destroying profit margins and will start spinning them off. 


**Live blogging from the NLA City of London conference, expect typos and grammatical errors**

So we are down to the last session of the day and it is Peter Rees, City Planning Officer, City of London  who starts with a joke, at least I think it's a joke but you can never be sure with Rees....

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"Here we are on the brink of the worst crisis the world's economy will see in our lifetime. Disaffected youth massing to the west of us ready to march on us and I've been asked to speak on building typologies. Yes quite!"

He runs the rest of the session almost as a stand-up, with no slides, no back-up, propped up against the lecturn with a microphone.

"25 years ago in the City, there were some pubs, if you wanted solids you could have a pork pie or a scotch egg at the pub, if you didn't fancy the pub there was choice: the greasy spoon. You could have had a cheese roll or ham roll and even then you had a choice you could have had it with or without tomato. Today we have people bounding over millennium bridge to get into the city at night. 

"We've transformed the square mile. But it is not just the tall buildings that make the difference.

"There's only one reason for building tall - it's when you run out of space. Building a tall building in the Elephant & Castle hasn't worked, it's just got a giant shaver on the edge of it now - there's nothing wrong with the Elephant & Castle...well actually there's a lot wrong with Elephant & Castle... that a tall building will solve. Does its tall building help with its problems, does it make anyone shop in the shopping centre or does it make everyone dive into the underground carpark out of the underground and drive off. 

"Look at Dubai, they have the world's tallest building but it is still a too hot hell hole. People will look at it in a few centuries in the same way we look at the Pyramids and wonder what it is.Nobody wants to go there for a dirty weekend...

...which brings me on to Frankfurt. I wouldn't go to Frankfurt for a dirty weekend and I told them that when I went there and they asked me about tall buildings - it won't make a bit of difference if it has tall buildings, Frankfurt first needs to be fun - a word they don't understand in German. But they have it in Berlin. 


ONC5122989713_70fbf37e11.jpg** Live blogging from the NLA City of London conference expect typos and grammatical errors**

Peter Bennett, City Surveyor, City of London

Land Sec - Walkie Talkie and the right to light, we had to intervene use our powers to make sure reasonable consideration was given so an iconic building could be built 

One New Change - 50% of the trade is at the weekend and the busiest day is Saturday showing that it's the visitors that are spending the money

The Olympic rings will be hung from Tower Bridge

3 new cinemas for the City

Picture of One New Change by EGFocus on Flickr

London, City & Docklands synopsis

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PUBLISHED 15 OCTOBER 2011

                                                           

Supply and Development

A look at trends in the marketplace

Mark Simmons, freelance writer, 07787 561032, msimmons@sourceform.co.uk

 

Globalisation

A look at London on the world stage

Adrian Morrison, freelance writer, 07818 013 233, adrian.morrison@addmor.com 

 

Investment

What's the outlook for the City and Dockland's investment market?

James Buckley, deputy news editor, 020 7911 1810, james.buckley@estatesgazette.com

 

Demand

Where will future demand come from?

David Thame, freelance writer 01544 262 896, dthame@clara.co.uk

 

Market health check

Covers offices in the City and Docklands. Please send up to date stats to Stacey Meadwell, regional editor stacey.meadwell@estatesgazette.com

 

Please contact writers with editorial information by Tuesday 20th September, 2011

 

 

Petrochems top insolvency list, while North West is hardest hit

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5366530695_60d25182f5.jpgAny of you out there got an outfit like this? Well you might need to look around for a new supplier. According to Experian the plastics and rubber industry registered the greatest percentage of business failures in July.

If you're an agent heavily into your plastics and rubber - we know there must be some of you out there - particularly those in the North East with it's heavy bent towards petrochemical occupiers it shows the worst is not over. The oil industry didn't fare that well either with 0.18% of the sector filing for insolvency in July. And, as occupier demand is thin in the region to say the least and it's difficult to see who might replace these voids.

You can see a complete table of business failures by sector and by region by clicking Experian insolvency research July 2011.xls.

Health and household topped the charts with none of its members going bust but pharmaceuticals, the bedrock of Cambridge's occupier base, also performed strongly a good sign for all those developers with cranes on the city's skyline.

Insurance followed closely behind plastics and rubber with 0.32% of its business populaton failing, a grim reminder to The City it is not out of the woods yet. So too for banking which while safely occupying the middle ground in terms of percent of business failing is still seeing a year on year increase in insolvency.By sheer numbers business services registered the highest number of insolvencies.

For the industry itself, property companies continued to fail at a greater rate than this time last year up from 0.05% in July 2010 to 0.07% in July 2011.

Geographically,  the North West performed worst with 0.14% of its firms failing - more than any other region.Scotland it seems was the best.

Picture by Fetish Art Identification Search on Flickr

A new year and new office property predictions

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christmas tree.JPGBarely have we got our over-indulged bodies back behind our desks and it is time to face what the year might bring the property industry.

King Sturge, as usual, is the first to put its marker down treating its holiday-lagged clients to a breakfast presentation of its predictions yesterday.

But before we take a peak at what they reckon will happen this year, let's have a look at what they said last year and whether or not it proved true.

Well, for 2010 the Docklands was highlighted as a hotspot in the London market and, based on take up alone, that seemed to prove the case. According to BNP Paribas Real Estate's figures that we'll be publishing in this Saturday's edition of the mag, office lettings were up by an incredible 450%, albeit from a low base.

King Sturge also correctly predicted rental growth in London and a widening gap between London and the regions' office rents.

Birmingham and Leeds were top of the list of cities causing concern for the firm. Year end figures aren't available just yet but by the end of Q3, according to Drivers Jonas Deloitte, supply in Birmingham was on the increase and rents had fallen back by £1 per sq ft. Similar figures for Leeds supplied by Colliers International show supply rising, weak take up and a small drop in rents.

So what of 2011? King Sturge's head of research Angus McIntosh said the overriding feature of this year would be 'stagflation' with the market bounce-back over, albeit with some exceptions.
We are live blogging from EG's 7th annual London development summit so this post is prone to inaccuracy, omissions and typos

Peter Bishop, Group Director, Design, Development & Environment, London Development Agency

Masterplanning the Royal Docks, exploiting the opportunities for the green economy and development potential in the City East

Peter Bishop has the conference after lunch snooze shift still, he's brightening up proceedings by showing the audience the beautiful watercolour of Abercrombie London plan from the 40s - a time, he says, when architects knew how to paint.

East london has been on the cusp of being London's new development area for the last forty years and it is still on the cusp of being London's new development area. Now, its about to go over the cusp:

* London has 160 nationalities and 350 different languages
* In 1991 London started to increase in population and now we are having to accomodate 650, 000 new people
* London is beginning to move eastwards but it has been a very, very slow process
* Development here has never been an easy,smooth process. London makes elegant lurches, takes bold moves like Canary Wharf and Excel centre. Needs another bold move.

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