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Sneak a peek at tomorrow's East Midlands focus

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Want to know what's going to be in tomorrow's Estates Gazette today? Well then just read on...
 

In this week's East Midlands' Focus I speak exclusively to Mark Bielby, Miller Birch's development director about the current tough development climate and he reveals how the company plans to beat the recession going forward.
 
Could the second phase of the much anticipated High Speed 2 rail link bring occupiers and inward investment into the region? Mark Simmons looks at the implications of citing the region's station on the outskirts of Nottingham rather than in the city centre and how Derby and Leicester have reacted to the news.
 
Office and industrial space is getting tight and demand is outstripping supply in most of the East Midlands. Graham Norwood takes a look at the occupier situation.
 
As we know the leisure sector is having a renaissance and underpinning a number of mixed-use schemes. Is the discovery of the remains of Richard III in Leicester boosting the local economy and what are Nottingham's plans to cash in on its Robin Hood heritage? David Thame finds out.
 
It's not just the leisure sector that is bouncing back the residential sector is also seeing housebuilders getting back in to the swing of things, albeit on a modest scale. David Thame analyses the seasonal thaw.
 
An up to the minute statistical overview is provided on all sectors of the property market for the region.

 
The East Midlands Focus will also be available as a free digital edition next week: www.estatesgazette.com/focus subscribers can see the entire edition of the mag digitally today.



HS2 unveils videos on YouTube

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It's been a busy week for HS2. Not content with announcing plans for the second phase of the controversial £32.7bn high speed rail network hitting the headlines on Monday morning (see my latest blog here) and today marking the end of the Property Compensation & Safeguarding consultations for phase one, the HS2 bods have also released a couple of videos via YouTube (see below).

The first is an interview with Paul Kehoe, CEO of Birmingham International Airport, who calls HS2 a "game changer" and says that he believes it allows the UK to be "shrunk massively." Kehoe unsurprisingly views the high speed rail network as a 'tremendous benefit." Birmingham airport and the NEC will both benefit from an HS2 station at the neighbouring Birmingham International rail station site. Birmingham will also have an HS2 terminus in the city centre within the Eastside regeneration zone.

On a lighter note, if you can't quite visualize what it will be like to journey on a double-decker high speed train come 2026, then take a look at this animated clip below. I wonder if you'll need a square head to ride one?!







HS2 Phase 2: Trainspotters

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It's been a big day for a small suburb. Unless you're a train spotter you've probably never heard of Toton, a tiny outpost in Greater Nottingham. But the government has put Toton on the map today after it revealed the details of the next phase of the High Speed 2 rail network.

Toton Sidings is a huge marshalling yard and a Mecca for anorak-wearing, notebook- carrying rail lovers. It will also now house the first station after Birmingham on the 211-mile northern phase of the major infrastructure project. Other stations are planned for Manchester, Manchester airport, Sheffield and Leeds.

Nottingham has every reason to be pleased with itself. It had to fight off stiff competition from rival East Mids city Derby which also had its hopes pinned on netting the HS2 station. 

Commenting on today's announcement, Innes England director, Tim Garratt, says: "The decision to create a HS2 station at Toton is, in my view exceptionally good news for both Nottingham and Derby - and the East Midlands as a whole.  Toton is a logical place - with the convergence of the Nottingham tram, the M1 motorway and the A52 all within striking distance."

As evidenced in other major infrastructure rail projects, values increase around stops and most importantly some stalled developments can get kick-started. 

With Toton being largely under-developed until now, it will be interesting to see how the regeneration benefits of HS2 phase two unfold. There is already talk by NET to extend the tram line into the site. 

Next to the proposed HS2 site at Toton, Peveril Homes and UKPP (advised by Jones Lang LaSalle) submitted plans last October for a major urban extension comprising 775 homes and a small amount of commercial space. The scheme is not affected by the HS2 plans, but looks set to benefit from them going forward.

Peveril director James Smith said that having the Toton Sidings site considered for HS2 was a good thing. "We support the political consensus regarding HS2 and firmly believe that this can bring sustainable, long-term benefits to the area," said Smith. "We are seeking a further dialogue with the local authority to see how we can help move this forward."

However, the plans could face delay following the extension announcement.

With construction expected to start in four years time and opening scheduled for 2026 for the first 140-mile London to Birmingham phase, there's still a long way to go before the entire line is operational around 2033 - when a lot people making decisions today will probably be retired.

Still, just the thought of double-decker high speed trains travelling at 220mph into Nottingham are getting those train spotters pencils twitching.



The second phase will dramatically reduce journey times. Passengers will be able to travel from Birmingham to London in 49 minutes, cutting the journey time from one hour and 24 minutes at present, while Birmingham to Manchester city centre will take 41 minutes. A journey to Leeds from London will take 57 minutes, almost halving the existing journey time.

Manchester - alongside Piccadilly station
Manchester airport- alongside the M56 between Warburton Green and Davenport Green 
East Midlands - at Toton, between Nottingham and Derby and one mile from the M1
Sheffield - at the Meadowhall Shopping Centre
Leeds - at New Lane, in the South Bank area connected to the main area by a walkway


As East Midlands niche agent Innes England braves the snow this morning (and for the rest of this week) to unveil its annual Market Insight report across the region's three main cities - Leicester Derby and Nottingham - over the next three days, here is a précis of how the region fared in 2012 and what could be interesting for the year ahead.

Robert Hartley, managing director at IE, says: "Making predictions for 2013 is difficult as we have seen several years of poor economic conditions. As a result of a lack of development in recent years, there is an emerging dearth of quality space across all sectors. Ultimately this will result in rents rising and pump prime speculative development."

The report states that the East Midlands economy is holding up however, compared to the rest of the country. With the continuing work of the LEPs and the Leicester and Nottingham enterprise zones, millions of pounds in funding from central government through LEPs and the Regional Growth Fund has been sourced.
 
Matthew Hannah, director at IE says vacancy rates are the biggest issue facing the retail market across the East Mids. Meanwhile,pro-active management still offers investors the opportunity to improve short, medium & long term capital values whilst maintaining cash-flow, says director Tim Garratt.

Nottingham highlights:

Industrial market remained strong in 2012 with take-up at 971,000 sq ft - 28% higher than the previous 12 months. Rents held steady at £5.5 per sq ft for the third year in a row

Supply drops to 2.1m sq ft - its lowest level since 2008. Only 116,000 sq ft is grade A.

Office take-up levels fell short of the 10 year average for the first time in four years with take-up at 438,000 sq ft.

Availability - 2.4m sq ft total supply at year end 2012. Supply of grade A space continues to tighten with a reduction of 17% to 370,000 sq ft

Rents remained stable at £19.50 per sq ft

Retail - continued high vacancy rates. Prime zone A High Street rents at 205.00 per sq ft

Derby 

Office market best described as 'patchy' during 2012 with take-up flatlining at circa 200,000 sq ft, marginally down on the long term average of 220,000 sq ft

Prime office rents remain at £16.50 per sq ft

Industrial take-up dropped significantly to just under 400,000 sq ft. Very little good quality stock available as supply dropped by 15%

Retail suffered a turbulent year, but steady take-up of vacant units on flexible terms with incentives. Westfield continued to drive footfall. Prime zone A High Street rents £150 per sq ft

Total availability fell by 6.5% to 553,000 sq ft with both grade A and secondary space down by 9% and 59% respectively. Derby dominated by poor quality second hand office stock.

Derby awarded £40m from the Regional Growth Fund. 

Leicester:

Industrial take-up down 13% to 1.9m sq ft, but remained in excess of long term annual average of 1.4m sq ft

Falling levels of industrial/distribution availability now a concern as almost 1.2m sq ft removed from the market since 2010. Supply also an issue with only 38,400 sq ft of new space available

Office sector saw a 22% drop in take-up, though remains in line with 10-year average at 340,000 sq ft pa. Out-of-town offices more active, accounting for 86% of all take-up. Overall availability increased by 1.37m sq ft.

Prime office rents remain at £16.50 per sq ft

Highcross continues to dominate the retail landscape in Leicester. Prime zone A High Street rents remain at £195 per sq ft



IE's Hartley believes there is "some prospect of economic growth" in 2013. Let's hope this translates into increased confidence and ultimately, activity.


Nottingham agents Xmas lunch is no turkey

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Notts agents xmas invite 2012 CROPPED.JPG

Inflatable horse races a bucking Dolly the Sheep ride and a room full of property agents - yes, the annual Nottingham Surveyors Christmas Lunch was once again the highlight of the pre-Christmas festivities in the East Midlands' capital.

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This year it was the turn of Savills (see team in mocked up pic above) to host the event, held at the famous Trent Bridge cricket ground. Savills decided to go back to basics with a 'landed gentry and country folk' theme this year.

Towards the end of the traditional turkey lunch, the tongue-in-cheek awards took place which saw DTZ's Gemma Eyre win the Jeremy Clarkson Award for failing spectacularly to turn up to a viewing, while Jess Hand of FHP won the 'Art of Communication' Award when she inadvertently finished a call with a prospective client by saying "bye, love you." The client obviously got a bit more than he bargained for there!

A 'morning after the night before' email sent by HEB's Jon Emmerson to a contact was read out which made him a hot contender for the 'Men behaving Badly Award.' I shall spare Jon's blushes but let's just say it involved alcohol, complete memory failure, tears and an abortive taxi journey. The award ended up going to Jones Lang LaSalle's Matt Robertson who accidentally got locked out of his room in a London hotel in just his underwear - ooh er!

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As the sound of The Wurzell's hit I've got a Brand New Combine Harvester pervaded the room, it was time for me to depart. Leaving behind teams of agents battling it out on Dolly - the bucking sheep - and talk turning to chaps (you know who you are!) removing certain items of clothing to raise extra money for charity I think I left just at the right time.

The pressure is on for next year's host DTZ to raise the bar even further. Tally Ho!





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Nottingham retail: time to move on?

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Jon Emmerson HEB pic.JPG
Jon Emmerson is a founding partner of Heb chartered surveyors in Nottingham. Here he gives a refreshingly honest view about the city's retail offer and what changes he believes need to happen to improve it.

 

With (hopefully) the Christmas tills ringing in this run up to the festive season, the future of Nottingham's retail offer and the Broadmarsh redevelopment saga feels a bit like one of those relationships which just needs to admit defeat and move on. 

I think it's fair to say that most politicians and most professional commentators now assume that nothing significant is going to happen with Broadmarsh (or probably the Victoria Centre for that matter) but no one seems willing to admit it. For the city's sake I desperately hope that plans are imminent for a partial redevelopment - although many remain sceptical about how you successfully part develop a scheme the size of Broadmarsh?

In the meantime, why don't we just forget this ongoing saga and concentrate on what we can do with other areas in the city centre that desperately need help? For example, I know that already good work is being done by the BID team, Nottingham City Council and Invest in Nottingham to try and help ailing areas such as Derby Road by tackling issues such as rents and investing in vacant shops.

Other action areas include Hockley, Trinity Square and Mansfield Road - all these areas can be improved which in turn will make the city centre a better place.

Broadmarsh Centre Nottingham.jpg
I think it's time to have a debate about the changes that need to happen to our city centre to ensure its long term survival -  that excludes the dying relationship between the city centre and Broadmarsh (pictured left). Let's have a debate about other ideas, include more inner city schooling that will in turn encourage families to move in to the city centre, ideas about reducing the physical retail area and thus ensuring a more vibrant centre. How can we improve the offer around Nottingham Trent University to help make it a more independent, student focused location?

Is it just me, or do other cities seem to have much more vibrant and concentrated areas? Is this possibly because they left their baggage behind and decided it's time to look again at what is out there?



Picture of Broadmarsh courtesy of Lee J Haywood via Flickr.com



First Look: E.ON's new headquarters in Nottingham

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There are a few perks to this job, one of them being getting to see brand new buildings before the tenants even move in.

This was the case when I was kindly given a private tour of the flagship, new E.ON headquarters building in Nottingham's city centre (thanks to Jones Lang LaSalle's Matthew Smith) - three days before E.ON moved in.

Built by East Midlands developer Miller Birch to an achingly high specification, the building is the city's 'greenest' ever scheme - no more than one would expect from having an energy giant as the tenant.

Now owned by Charles Street Building Group which paid £30m - yield 6.62% - for it in February 2011 whilst under construction, the 105,000 sq ft office block is an impressive addition to Nottingham's skyline.

Here's a first look at the scheme. Just click on the arrow below...



Guest Blog: Nottingham retail "lies, lies & damned statistics"?

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Ben Tebbutt FHP.jpgRecent research published by the Local Data Company suggests that the East Midlands' capital has a retail vacancy rate of over 30% Here local agent Ben Tebbutt, director at FHP (formerly known as Fisher Hargreaves Procter) in Nottingham suggests headline figures may not give the whole story... 

 

Talking about retail in Nottingham is getting like Groundhog Day.

Recession-hungry national media lap up a Local Data Company survey suggesting a third of shops in the city are empty.

Not for the first time, we point out it's based on an old map including distant corners of the city people don't shop in.

So what's the real picture? There are two, actually, and neither of them add up to the economic disaster movie LDC's statistics suggest.

At FHP we've been doing our own Retail Report for more than 15 years. Our surveyors walk the streets and check the reality against the records. Last year, we recorded an A1, A2 and A3 vacancy rate in the trading area of the city centre of 11.88%.

Our next Retail Report comes out later this month and we know already what the latest overall vacancy rate is. In the year when, according to LDC, all hell broke loose on the high street, it dropped to 11.67%. And in the last few weeks, Patisserie Valerie moved into one of Nottingham's most iconic locations, Hugo Boss announced a £1m spend on a new store, Cath Kidston opened, and Urban Outfitters, tReds, Thomas Sabo, Dr Martens, JoJo Maman Bebe and Foot Asylum are all on the way.

No disaster there, then...

One thing LDC may have been unaware of when looking at Nottingham, is something that
demonstrates the limits of statistics and the power of market knowledge. In the coming years, more than £900m is going to be invested in the local economy. Projects include a £600m expansion of the tram network; £150m dualling of the the A453, Nottingham's southern link with the M1; £60m developing a transport interchange. And another £60m developing a creative quarter around Eastside, the Lace Market and Hockley under the terms of the government's City Deal.

These are not CGi pipe dreams - they are signed-off projects with funding in place. This in a city economy which already has the fifth highest retail spend outside London.

Sure, we're all anxiously waiting to find out what will happen to Broadmarsh and the Victoria Centre, but I have a feeling we will not have to wait long.

But this is the real backdrop against which CSC will be investing - not the empty shops myth.

 

Do you agree with Ben? Click below to leave your comments...

 

For more up to the minute information on the East Midlands, read this Saturday's East Midlands Focus (13/10/2012).

 

 

 

East Midlands Focus Synopsis

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As the long, hot (ahem..) days of summer slowly draw to a close, Estates Gazette is thinking ahead to the autumn by shining a spotlight on the East Midlands market. On October 13th, EG will publish the latest news and views from the region. If you would like to get involved and take part in the Focus, please contact the relevant writer below for more information.

 

Published October 13, 2012


Offices
Analysis of the market
Mark Faithfull, freelance writer, 0560 286 0859, Mark.faithfull@btinternet.com
Deadline 18/09/12

 

Retail
A detailed look at the strength of the market and its prospects.
David Thame, freelance writer, 01544 262 896, dthame@clara.co.uk

Deadline 19/09/12


Residential
Analysis of the sector
David Thame, freelance writer, 01544 262 896
dthame@clara.co.uk
Deadline: 17/09/12

 

Market Health Check
Please send up to date statistics for the offices, retail and industrial market to Stacey Meadwell, regional editor, 020 7911 1819, Stacey.meadwell@estatesgazette.com

Deadline: 21/09/12

 


Please contact the writers directly for more details about their individual features by

Thursday 13th September

Writers deadlines are staggered in the week commencing 17th September

For general information about the Midlands' focus features and the Midlands Property Blog contact Lisa Pilkington, Midlands' editor, Lisa.pilkington@estatesgazette.com

 

This is the age of the train (again)

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train.jpgMore mature (ahem) readers of my blog may remember the Jimmy Saville TV ad for British Rail from the early 1980's cheerfully imploring the nation to use the train more at a time when car ownership was rocketing. Well today's government announcement of a multi-billion spending package on rail transport contains some welcome news for the Midlands that will undoubtedly help boost all of the region's property markets.

Top of the list is the £800m of new funding to electrify and improve the Midland Main Line between London, Leicester, Derby, Nottingham and Sheffield. While Birmingham has been in the transport limelight for some time (New Street station redevelopment, HS2), this announcement pushes East Midlands centres to the fore.

On my regular visits to East Midlands' cities I've lost count of the number of times property folk have told me how upgrading the existing rail links would significantly improve the case for attracting inward investors and retaining key occupiers - so I'm expecting there to be many pleased faces out there today. The prospect of new or refurbished trains is also potentially good news for Derby, home of the former British Rail works, now owned by Canadian trainbuilder Bombardier.

Particularly heartening for shed-heads is that Midland Main Line improvements aren't just focused on passengers. They are part of a new plan to create an 'Electric Spine', a rail freight corridor linking the East and West Midlands with the South Coast. And that could well bring benefits for logistics developments.

Of course we're still waiting for the fine print - apart from the electrification itself, what other improvements will be made to speed up journey times, and when will all of this happen?

Improving the trains won't solve fundamental property market issues, but in the middle of a double-dip recession it can surely only be a good thing?

 

Picture via Flickr.com by by Train Chartering & Private Rail Cars

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