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Budget 2013 - Midlands response

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George Osborne.jpg

In one of the liveliest Budgets in recent memory, chancellor George Osborne was at times lost for words. With the outlook for the economy significantly downgraded, some are saying that this is a Budget of paradoxes. For example, Britain will avoid a triple-dip recession after the return to negative growth in Q4 of 2012, but the economy is only likely to grow by 0.6% this year - a big fall from the 1.1% previously forecast.

The West Midlands region was fleetingly mentioned as Osborne confirmed the government's backing to Lord Heseltine's call for a 'single pot' of money for local enterprise and the country's 39 LEP's to share and promised to implement the proposal.

The Help to Buy scheme is welcomed but will it truly revitalise the housing market? And the announcement regarding £3.5bn investment in infrastructure is positive, but which schemes are set to benefit and how quickly?

As people digest the finer details from this afternoon's speech, here is some initial industry reaction:


Stephen Hemming, director, planning & development at Lambert Smith Hampton in Birmingham, welcomes the chancellor's announcement of £3.5bn support for infrastructure projects, but adds: "It is unfortunate that the spending won't come in until 2015/16, although it is appreciated that the money comes as a result of savings elsewhere. The question is what will be delivered and where? Will we see the big, potentially game changing schemes getting delayed by challenges as with HS2 or will it be the smaller, but in some cases no less important, projects such as new roads and so on which have been put on the back burner finally being dusted off."  


Jan Thompson, Jones Lang LaSalle's Birmingham-based Midland chairman also welcomes the £3bn spending on infrastructure and acceptance of a single pot for local enterprise but states again the key questions on everyone's lips - how much will Whitehall release to allow the LEP's to proceed and when? I think we are all disappointed that the budget contained no news on how the government would allocate resources to regional LEPs, through the Heseltine Review.  These proposals will be a real game-changer for the West Midlands, and there are clearly internal battles going on in Whitehall as confirmed by Heseltine in terms of the size of the pot," says Thompson.

"Until this is decided, the LEPs for Greater Birmingham & Solihull, and for the Black Country remain uncertain about when they can begin to implement their ideas for growth and make them a reality.  And if you put this into context, we see that last month, of the 576 infrastructure projects highlighted by the government only seven have been completed. The country needs these schemes to be delivered and not log-jammed inside Whitehall.


Budget 2013 - Midlands response

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George Osborne.jpg

In one of the liveliest Budgets in recent memory, chancellor George Osborne was at times lost for words. With the outlook for the economy significantly downgraded, some are saying that this is a Budget of paradoxes. For example, Britain will avoid a triple-dip recession after the return to negative growth in Q4 of 2012, but the economy is only likely to grow by 0.6% this year - a big fall from the 1.1% previously forecast.

The West Midlands region was fleetingly mentioned as Osborne confirmed the government's backing to Lord Heseltine's call for a 'single pot' of money for local enterprise and the country's 39 LEP's to share and promised to implement the proposal.

The Help to Buy scheme is welcomed but will it truly revitalise the housing market? And the announcement regarding £3.5bn investment in infrastructure is positive, but which schemes are set to benefit and how quickly?

As people digest the finer details from this afternoon's speech, here is some initial industry reaction:


Stephen Hemming, director, planning & development at Lambert Smith Hampton in Birmingham, welcomes the chancellor's announcement of £3.5bn support for infrastructure projects, but adds: "It is unfortunate that the spending won't come in until 2015/16, although it is appreciated that the money comes as a result of savings elsewhere. The question is what will be delivered and where? Will we see the big, potentially game changing schemes getting delayed by challenges as with HS2 or will it be the smaller, but in some cases no less important, projects such as new roads and so on which have been put on the back burner finally being dusted off."  


Jan Thompson, Jones Lang LaSalle's Birmingham-based Midland chairman also welcomes the £3bn spending on infrastructure and acceptance of a single pot for local enterprise but states "the key questions on everyone's lips - how much will Whitehall release to allow the LEP's to proceed and when? I think we are all disappointed that the budget contained no news on how the government would allocate resources to regional LEPs, through the Heseltine Review.  These proposals will be a real game-changer for the West Midlands, and there are clearly internal battles going on in Whitehall as confirmed by Heseltine in terms of the size of the pot," says Thompson.

"Until this is decided, the LEPs for Greater Birmingham & Solihull, and for the Black Country remain uncertain about when they can begin to implement their ideas for growth and make them a reality.  And if you put this into context, we see that last month, of the 576 infrastructure projects highlighted by the government only seven have been completed. The country needs these schemes to be delivered and not log-jammed inside Whitehall.


Inside this week's West Midlands Focus...

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We've got a bumper set of articles this week as Estates Gazette once again shines the spotlight on the West Midlands region.


Our lead article features Lord Michael Heseltine talking to me about his role in Birmingham's pilot to extend devolution of powers and financing from central government. I went along to his offices at the Department for Business Innovation and Skills (BIS) to discuss the Greater Birmingham Project - in which Brum is blazing a trail for the country's other 38 LEPs.


Talking of which, Mark Simmons takes a look at public sector partnerships and analyses the region's six local enterprise partnerships (LEPs) as they celebrate their second birthday. Have they made the progress the property industry was hoping for? Greater Birmingham & Solihull LEP chairman and retail golden boy/md of John Lewis, Andy Street shares his views.


Meanwhile, David Thame tackles the hot topic of change of use and the recent relaxation of rules and also gets to grips with the leisure sector - now key to unlocking major projects.


Serviced office provider i2 has ambitious growth plans and founder Philip Grace talks exclusively to EG about changes in the sector and the firm's strategy.


And there's something of a stand off taking place in the West Midlands industrial sector as pent up demand builds. David Quinn asks who will be the first to spec build?

If you're a numbers addict then look no further than our Market Health Check pages which are crammed full of all the latest stats.


But if you can't wait until tomorrow o see your EG, then why not find out how to get your hands on our free regional iPad edition, stuffed full of extra content? Just click here.You can also go to the iTunes store and download the free EG app.

Happy reading!

Guest Blog: Investors eye up Brum property assets

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Ed Gamble CBRE.jpg
The long-awaited sale of Baskerville House at the back end of 2012 marks a turning point for the Birmingham property investment market, says CBRE senior director Ed Gamble, who handled the sale for administrator Deloitte. The regional investment market has had a tough time of late and has definitely been in London's shadow. Gamble describes (below) how he sees the market and why he believes things are about to change...



Baskerville House, the 196,000 sq ft landmark listed building which was sold to Hermes Real Estate Investment Management Limited (HREIML) for £40.475m, attracted a number of 100% equity bids.
 
I believe this deal illustrates a sea-change in the way investors are viewing the regional property market.

Investors are finally waking up to the lack of office development and the absorption of grade A office stock in Birmingham: the bottom of the occupation market is now in sight.

Of the investors bidding for Baskerville House, more than half had no existing assets in the city. In addition to UK funds and property companies, there were also two overseas investors, one American and one from the Middle East. 

The fact we are getting newcomers to the regional property scene is also encouraging. And who said that overseas investors were focusing only on London? They're wrong.

One of the reasons for the wide range of interest is the gulf between London and regional office yields. 

This is now bigger than at any time in living memory - even bigger than in 1991, the start of the last big recession, when the regional market was still very immature in terms of occupiers and investment stock.

At that time, Birmingham had only a smattering of quality buildings. Now, we have trophy assets and coveted tenants.

Even the fact that office take-up in Birmingham city centre in 2012 was the lowest in 15 years is not deterring interest. Take-up may be low, but it's all relative: 500,000 sq ft is not to be sniffed at.  

Had Baskerville been remarketed 4 - 5 months ago it would have failed to shift.

Let's not get over excited, though. Investors are not paying over the odds for assets. 

Sensible pricing is the order of the day.


(Baskerville House was formerly owned by Targetfollow Property Investment & Development Limited which collapsed in 2010; the Grade II listed building was put up for sale by administrator Deloitte as a result). 

Birmingham pulled out all the stops this year as it revved up for the annual Midlands Property Quiz held at Aston Villa FC last Thursday night.

With a Monte Carlo theme, the 500 guests were treated to two Williams Formula One racing cars welcoming them to the venue and even Top Gear's The Stig made an appearance on the night. 

Host with the most GBR Phoenix Beard's John Griffiths was escorted on to the stage by The Stig and some lovely promo girls. Not used to being so closely watched whilst in action, Griffiths says "It was a bit off putting actually. The Stig took to standing there staring at me for the first half of the proceedings with his arms crossed."

It was thanks to the event's chair, well known property figure Neil Edginton, who lead from the front by getting his celeb mates on board - including The Stig, The F1 cars and Heart FM DJ Ed James who helped with the hosting duties.

One of the most popular rounds was the James Bond gadget game, where each of the 47 tables were given a bag of scraps including tin foil, plastic cups and all sorts of crafting paraphernalia. Each team had to create a gadget for James Bond. Needless, to say there was much hilarity when teams unveiled their gadgets which ranged from large robots to detachable fake breasts! Ahem.... However, the Estates Gazette's "super gun" won the day.

Ultimately it was Santander that pulled into first position to win the entire quiz with Emms Gilmore Libberson in the runners up position and previous winner Wragge &Co came in third. Joint wooden spoon winners were DTZ and Nikal. Apparently DTZ's David Tonks took advantage of a free lift and left the building before he could claim the prize!

A whopping 34,000 was raised on the night - double last year's total - for the Birmingham Children's Hospital and LionHeart. EG was media sponsor for the event and other main sponsors were Santander, Faithful & Gould and Ellis Clowes.

A palpable sense of dare I say, optimism (there I said it!) filled the air on the night, which was reflected in the final sing-a-long finale. Robbie Williams' Angels was elbowed to make way for The Killer's Mr Brightside. Surely, one of the best barometers for testing market sentiment in any year..?

To see more photo's from the night click on the link below:


 

Photographs by Malcolm Lewin (all rights reserved) 

HS2 unveils videos on YouTube

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It's been a busy week for HS2. Not content with announcing plans for the second phase of the controversial £32.7bn high speed rail network hitting the headlines on Monday morning (see my latest blog here) and today marking the end of the Property Compensation & Safeguarding consultations for phase one, the HS2 bods have also released a couple of videos via YouTube (see below).

The first is an interview with Paul Kehoe, CEO of Birmingham International Airport, who calls HS2 a "game changer" and says that he believes it allows the UK to be "shrunk massively." Kehoe unsurprisingly views the high speed rail network as a 'tremendous benefit." Birmingham airport and the NEC will both benefit from an HS2 station at the neighbouring Birmingham International rail station site. Birmingham will also have an HS2 terminus in the city centre within the Eastside regeneration zone.

On a lighter note, if you can't quite visualize what it will be like to journey on a double-decker high speed train come 2026, then take a look at this animated clip below. I wonder if you'll need a square head to ride one?!







Midlands confident about growth says Jones Lang LaSalle

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Another day and another commercial property report is unveiled. This time it is the turn of Jones Lang LaSalle, which hosted an event to launch its predictions for 2013 in Birmingham yesterday.

Positive news came with the Midlands showing the fastest predicted GDP growth of any other region outside Greater London and the South-East, with the West Midlands at 1.3% and the East Midlands at 1.2% for 2013.

Jon Neale head of UK research at JLL, said: "Figures suggested that the Midlands appeared to be more confident about business prospects than those further North.  Birmingham and Nottingham also forecasted stronger growth than many of counterparts at 1.4% and 1.8%."  

Neale did however offer a note of caution about the region's reliance on the industrial sector growth and resurgence of the automotive industry and JLR adding: "The region needs to nurture start ups and ensure the prosperity created from manufacturing is used to develop emerging and hi-tech industries to provide sustainable long-term growth."

Estates Gazette: West Midlands Focus Synopsis

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EG West Midlands Focus
Published March 9, 2013, in print, digital and enhanced iPad formats
 
 

Public Sector
LEP's one year on, how are they faring?
Contact: Mark Simmons, freelance writer, 07787 561032, msimmons@sourceform.co.uk
D/L:  15th February  
 

Change of Use
Analysis of impact on the offices and residential market
Contact: David Thame, freelance writer, 01544 262 896, dthame@clara.co.uk
D/L: 15th February
 

Industrial
Analysis of the strength of the market and its prospects.
Contact: David Quinn, freelance writer, 07841-115601, davidquinnmail@yahoo.com  


Leisure 
Will the growth in the sector help kick-start regeneration?
Contact: David Thame, freelance writer, 01544 262 896, dthame@clara.co.uk

 
Market health check - including Vox Pop
Email Stacey.meadwell@estatesgazette.com if you think you can help with office, industrial and retail stats for the West Midlands (up to end of Q4 & predictions to end of Q1 if possible). 
Vox Pop - Has Birmingham lost the crown of England's second city to Manchester and what is the key to boosting its standing in the regional hierarchy?



Please contact the writers directly for more details about their individual features by Thursday 7th February

Writer's deadline is 13th February unless otherwise stated


For general information about the Midlands' focus features and the Midlands' Property Blog contact Lisa Pilkington, Midlands' editor, Lisa.pilkington@estatesgazette.com

First Look: Shoosmiths new Brum HQ & 2013 predictions

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SHOO birmingham_0000.jpg

 

Here's a first look at how the interior of Shoosmith's new Birmingham operation will look - pretty snazzy eh?

Following on from yesterday's announcement by BOMF (Birmingham Office Market Forum) on the city centre's annual take-up figures which made for disappointing reading, I'm highlighting a positive.

With the total take-up for 2012 hitting 500,955 sq ft according to BOMF, this reflected a drop of one quarter (25%) compared to 2011's figure of 669,798 sq ft.

SHOO birmingham_0005.jpgBut a pre-Christmas highlight came in the form of the much talked about, but long-awaited signing (on 19th December - following the deal being tipped by EG earlier that month) of the deal between Nurton Development's and law firm Shoosmiths, for space at Nurton's 158,000 sq ft Two Colmore Square in the city centre.

In perhaps the worst kept secret in the city, Shoosmiths had been circling the scheme (and others - including Colmore Plaza) for some time and decided to make its base at Two Colmore Square by signing a 15-year lease on a rent of circa £25 per sq ft.

And now all Brum needs is a few more deals like that to see it through the cold winter months and into spring/summer. But how likely is that?

Well, according to the latest research by CBRE, Brum will see marginal growth in 2013, but expect to see rents flatline in 2014 as a consequence of new space coming to market during this year.

Jon Carmalt, director at Jones Lang LaSalle and keeper of the BOMF stats, agrees that the BOMF figures for 2012 were disappointing, but adds: "2012 got off to a very poor start in Q1 but improved throughout the year. When I compare the current enquiry schedules with those of exactly 12 months ago then the picture now is far healthier, with a reasonable volume of circa 20,000 - 50,000 sq ft enquiries demonstrating a range of existing occupiers who are at least considering their relocation options.

"Occupiers doing nothing and staying put is the local office market's biggest threat, but I feel certain that when we look back at this period then 2012 will be seen to have been the lowest point in Birmingham's office market."

Let's certainly hope so...

 

SHOO birmingham_0002.jpg

Brum Question Time - HS2, EZ's and failing PR

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QT Brum 2012 panel pic.jpg

HS2, the London to Birmingham high speed rail link, Enterprise Zones and a potential PR problem for Birmingham were subjects all hotly debated at Friday's Midlands Question Time event held in Birmingham.

The panel comprised chief exec of the Birmingham Chamber of Commerce Jerry Blackett, Paul Bassi, chief executive of Real Estate Investors, Savills director Barry Allen and Mark Barrow, strategic director at Birmingham city council. EG editor Damian Wild chaired the event.

QT Brum 2012 room shot.jpg
Panellists were refreshingly honest when responding to questions from the floor. On the subject of the controversial plans for the proposed HS2 high speed link, 87.5% of the audience thought that the high speed link would benefit Birmingham more than London (see results below). 

Savills' Allen criticised HS2 Ltd about its recommendations in the recently publicised safeguarding consultation where it says it will require the whole of the 150 acre Washwood Heath site for a new train maintenance depot. Allen said: "We don't think they've [HS2 Ltd] done their job correctly in terms of their assessments and this is challenging. HS2 is just not listening at the moment which is a worry." He added: "My concern is that we shouldn't just rely on HS2 as there is a danger opportunities could be blighted while we're waiting for it. We need to work with HS2 but we also need to challenge it."

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