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Follow the smart money; but get a move on

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Just a couple of advertisements this morning: London agents with their ear to the ground will know that the British Property Federation and Allsop are looking to move offices. But, just in case there is a stray landlord out there unaware of the requirement, here are the details. The BPF wants about 4,000 sq ft, north of the river and within lobbying distance of the Palace of Westminster. Allsop is looking for 15,000 sq ft a bit closer to the lights of Regent Street than their current home in Soho Square.

The reason for not simply telling both to go put an advert in EG, is that both the BPF chief executive Liz Peace and Allsop senior partner Neil MacKilligin came up with exactly the same answer when asked why move now - and not when their leases run out in 2010 and 2011. "Rents will be higher, incentives lower and far more tenants will be seeking space" was essentially the answer.

The BPF can call on some pretty fancy advice from members like Francis Salway, chief executive of Land Securities - who said don't delay. Allsop is Britain's leading auction house and so has its finger on the pulse. They seem even keener to move. London letting agents with their ear to the ground are presumably already mentioning to hesitating clients that well-informed occupiers are moving well before their lease break. A ploy that will no doubt increase the likelihood of the prediction coming true.

Review of succesful fobbing off exercise

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The British Property Federation has staved-off legislation on upward-only rent reviews for nearly 20 years with a series of three voluntary codes, the latest of which has just been exposed as (surprise surprise) largely a waste of time and trees in a government survey.

These codes came about after tenants caught in the early nineties downturn howled with rage to their MP's after discovering their rent could only go up and never down.

"Over renting has not yet become a major issue" say the new survey's authors. Not quite true, especially with retailers. But the IPD/Strutt & Parker lease review published this week shows that 30% of property was over-rented at the end of 2008.

How many smaller badly advised tenants are still locked into upward-only rent reviews? Who knows? When will they start complaining to their elected representatives? Who cares: certainly not the institutions or the major landlords, who have successfully fobbed off successive governments. Labour are hardly likely to bother to legislate now. And the BPF will almost certainly convince the Conservatives not to trouble themselves if they win the next election.

About the Author

Peter Bill

Peter Bill edited Estates Gazette between 1998 and early 2009. He writes a column for the Evening Standard each Friday and is working on a book about the commercial property market.

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