IPD this week published their comprehensive
annual lease review, which indicated that 2011 saw another decline in the average lease length taken for retail space - not to mention another increase in the percentage of leases containing lease breaks.
The study shows that over the past nine years, the average lease length has fallen from just shy of ten years to just under seven. In addition, the percentage of leases which now include a break has doubled.
The figures got me wondering about 'averages' across the retail market - and whether the available space across the country could be distilled down into one unit; the ultimate 'average space', to display what's typically available to UK retailers at this point in time.
Using samples from
EGi's researched availability, which currently holds over 12,000 retail units being marketed, I found that the average retail unit currently available measures
2,941 sq ft; would be marketed with a lease length of
11.82 years; and would have an asking rent of
£43,281 per annum.
Breaking these figures down by Property Type:
'Average' Shopping Centre Availability: 2,482 sq ft; 11.45 years; £72,195 per annum.
'Average' Retail Park Availability: 12,800 sq ft; 14 years; £171,094 per annum.
'Average' Other Retail Space: 1,837 sq ft; 11.57 years; £29,437 per annum.
Breakdown by Lease Type:
'Average' New FRI Leases: 3,069 sq ft; 11 years; £57,303 per annum.
'Average' Lease Assignments: 3,746 sq ft; 13.23 years; £111,547 per annum.
Whilst this is only a sample, it indicates that the space being marketed at the moment would, on average, be looking for a retailer to commit to a lease length far above that which is representative of the market. The difference between assignments and new leases can probably be attributed to struggling brands trying to divest themselves of lengthy, expensive obligations agreed during better economic times.
The majority of the 'other' retail space is located on high streets - and the fact that, on average, the £/sq ft ratio is closer to that of retail parks than shopping centres shows the level to which those spaces have struggled to attract occupiers. Indeed,
shops have been going for as little as £1 per annum - so perhaps it's surprising to see the figure so high!
On average, then, retailers are currently best off going for a new lease on an out-of-town scheme; whilst the most costly deal would be agreeing to take an assignment at a shopping centre - which honestly comes as no surprise at all.